Bold and not-so-bold predictions for 2012
Writing year-end "best of" lists is easy, and writing 2012 New Year's resolutions is even easier. After all, it's not very challenging to opine about what we would like to see.
It's much trickier to predict the future.
So, because I consider myself a sporting guy, here are five "bold" predictions for 2012 ... and five "not-so-bold" predictions for the new year.
Add your own via the almighty Talkback, keep score at home, and at the end of 2012, we'll all check back and see how we did.
And please note, my predictions aren't necessarily my personal wishes. This is just what I expect to go down in the new year.
Ryan Braun won't serve a 50-game suspension: I'm not sure the reigning National League MVP will get off scot-free, but I don't see him serving a suspension for performance-enhancing drugs ... because he didn't take PEDs. Rather, I think an embarrassing and/or awkward, but unrelated to baseball, situation will be revealed, and either Braun will serve a shorter suspension or none at all. In the end, his reputation as a baseball player won't be hurt, and at least in Milwaukee, his reputation as a person won't be, either. Additionally, someone at ESPN is getting sued and/or fired over their incorrect and libelous account of the story.
Scott Walker will survive the recall election: There will be an election, but the combination of voter apathy, an already polarized electorate and a weak Democratic candidate will fail to give Walker the boot. Even though he will stay in office by a very narrow margin, Walker won't change his policies one iota, further infuriating the left and further strengthening his base on the right. He will never win re-election, however, assuming the Dems can offer up a candidate who really wants and deserves the job.
The Packers will win the Super Bowl: I guess this isn't that bold, but repeating a Super Bowl victory is harder than it looks. The Packers will do it on the arm of Aaron Rodgers, and despite a non-existent defense, they'll score enough points to make it look easy. I'd like to predict Green Bay would defeat Tim Tebow and the Broncos in the big game – but Denver will never make it that far.
The Rock 'N Sole half marathon/10K will go off without a hitch: After last year's debacle, the event will be perfect. And there will be plenty of water for all. I won't speculate whether I'll be in good enough shape to run it, however.
Prince Fielder will sign somewhere for much less than originally expected: I still have a sneaking suspicion that Fielder will rejoin the Brewers, but I'm not crazy enough to predict it. Instead, I think he'll join a team that will pay him something near what the Brewers already offered him, but due to his desire to test the market and the Crew's subsequent big-ticket signings, it's no longer viable for Milwaukee to pay that price.
And now, for some not-so-bold predictions:
- The Brewers will set another season ticket sales record
- No significant progress will be made on any Downtown rail solution
- Obama will win re-election by a landslide and will narrowly take Wisconsin
- Northridge Mall won't become a Chinese mall, or anything else in 2012
- The Journal Sentinel will kill off its hybrid entertainment site, Tap Milwaukee
One bonus, non-Milwaukee prediction:
- The world will not end on Dec. 21, 2012
Talkbacks
JoseCardenal | Dec. 28, 2011 at 1:41 p.m. (report)
Obama wins in a landslide? A not-so-bold prediction? You have got to be kidding me. He very well may win reelection but there is no way it is not a close race. I find it hard to believe that we will ever see a "landslide" ala Reagan in '84 again in America. But then again you never defined what you believe to be a "landslide" so you gave yourself lots of wiggle room.
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mikeb | Dec. 23, 2011 at 9:18 a.m. (report)
Walker can certainly win re-election. If the state budget is balanced and the job situation improves I think he wins easily. The one question that the recall advocates really have to answer is what do they plan on replacing Walker with? The Democratic party is Wisconsin is pretty weak right now in terms of candidates. Ron Kind who might be there most marketable person probably will not risk a safe house seat. That sort of leaves retreads like Falk and Barrett to make a run.
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